₹202.0
-4.63% today
· 30d +0.46%
as of 2026-09-04
Price · Daily Candles
“AFSL Nosedives 25% from 52-Week High Amidst FII Inflows and Negative Q4 Profit.”
AFSL, a Capital Markets player, trades at a TTM PE of 9.67 and a PB of 0.81, indicating a 'CHEAP' valuation despite recent stock weakness. While Q4 2026 revenue surged 719.09% YoY to ₹8708 crore, net profit turned negative at -₹4 crore, a significant -112.3% YoY drop. However, annual revenue CAGR over 5 years is a strong 78.12%.
BULL CASE
+Annual revenue growth has been exceptional, with a 5-year CAGR of 78.12% and a 3-year CAGR of 173.73%.
+FIIs increased their stake by 1.99% QoQ to 19.02% as of March 2026.
+The stock is trading at 25.42% below its 52-week high of ₹269.5, presenting a potential value opportunity.
+The FCF yield stands at a high 49.22% with current FCF at ₹503 crore, even with ML predictions of future FCF compression.
BEAR CASE
−Q4 2026 net profit sharply declined to -₹4 crore, a -112.3% YoY change, despite a massive revenue increase.
−Operating profit for Q4 2026 fell by 66.08% YoY to ₹17 crore, with OPM dropping by 4.39% QoQ.
−The stock is signalling 'bearish' with a 'weak' MACD reading of -0.1735 and is 'Near 52W Low' with a 'moderate' strength of 4.68.
−ML predictions show 'weak' FCF growth with stable 7-year history ranks at 0.234.
⟳ What Changed
₹ Latest Earnings · Q ending 2026-06-30
REVENUE
₹3713 Cr
+96.05% YoY
NET PROFIT
₹66 Cr
+101.43% YoY
OPM
2.7%
-0.11pp YoY
EPS
₹12.2
PE 9.67
Intrinsic value · DCF: N/A — ML model predicts severe Δ FCF compression (h1=-19.4%, h2=-30.5%, h3=-29.7% of mktcap), driving projected FCF negative by year 3 despite healthy current FCF. Treating as forecast outlier rather than reporting a misleading ₹0 valuation. Use the Strategy Fit and ML sections instead.
◇ Sector Position
AFSL's uncharacteristic TTM PE of 9.67 and ROCE of 8.0% position it significantly below sector peers like GROWW (PE 56.11, ROCE 48.94%) and CDSL (PE 56.19, ROCE 40.32%).
PEERPEROCE %
AFSL9.678.0
+ 2 more peers — sign in to view
ML Forward Growth Predictions 🔒
66
SCORE / 100
Overall
6-axis composite of the sections below.
Performance
NEUTRAL
40
Valuation
CHEAP
90
Growth
STEADY
67
Profitability
AVERAGE
45
Technicals
NEUTRAL
65
Risk
LOW
90
Key Stats
TTM PE
9.67
P/B
0.81
52W HIGH
₹229.0
OFF HIGH
-11.79%
MKT CAP
₹1026 Cr
◉ Active Signals
MACDBullish0.1924
RSI(14)Neutral45.38
Near 52W LowBearish3.9
⧉ Strategy Fit 🔒