₹452.9
+2.51% today
· 30d -12.4%
as of 2026-09-04
Price · Daily Candles
“AGARIND: Quarterly Slump Belies Annual Growth as FIIs Exit, DIIs Step Up”
Agarwal Industrial Corp. Ltd (AGARIND) presents a mixed financial picture, with Q4 FY25 revenue down 24.66% YoY and net profit plunging 89.9% YoY to ₹3 Cr. This contrasts with positive annual growth in FY25, where revenue rose 12.6% YoY and net profit increased 5.91% YoY. FIIs have reduced their stake by 2.33% QoQ, while DIIs increased their holding by 0.05% QoQ.
BULL CASE
+AGARIND has demonstrated strong historical growth with a 5-year revenue CAGR of 24.97% and a net profit CAGR of 35.26%.
+Annual revenue for FY25 grew by 12.6% YoY, reaching ₹2399 Cr, while net profit also increased by 5.91% YoY to ₹116 Cr.
+The stock is trading at a TTM PE of 17.96, which is lower than the sector average and suggests a 'CHEAP' valuation score of 75.
+Machine learning predictions for 1-year free cash flow (fcf) show neutral to strong growth ranks, with recent 2-year fcf at 0.709 (strong) and rolling 4-year fcf at 0.645 (neutral).
BEAR CASE
−Q4 FY25 saw a significant decline, with revenue down 24.66% YoY and net profit dropping 89.9% YoY to ₹3 Cr.
−The company's OPM declined by 4.14% in Q4 FY25 compared to the prior year, reaching 6.09%.
−FIIs have reduced their stake by 2.33% QoQ as of June 2026, while public shareholding increased by 2.28% QoQ.
−The stock is trading 48.14% below its 52-week high of ₹1006.0, indicating significant price correction and a 'HIGH' risk score of 10.
⟳ What Changed
₹ Latest Earnings · Q ending 2026-06-30
REVENUE
₹433 Cr
-27.0% YoY
NET PROFIT
₹10 Cr
-20.57% YoY
OPM
7.48%
+1.12pp YoY
EPS
₹6.92
PE 17.96
Intrinsic value · DCF: N/A — ML model predicts severe Δ FCF compression (h1=-50.0%, h2=-50.0%, h3=-50.0% of mktcap), driving projected FCF negative by year 3 despite healthy current FCF. Treating as forecast outlier rather than reporting a misleading ₹0 valuation. Use the Strategy Fit and ML sections instead.
◇ Sector Position
AGARIND trades at a TTM PE of 17.96 with a ROCE of 17.0%, significantly lower than peers like Asian Paints (PE 67.67, ROCE 28.61%) and Pidilite Industries (PE 62.62, ROCE 31.91%).
PEERPEROCE %
AGARIND17.9617.0
+ 2 more peers — sign in to view
ML Forward Growth Predictions 🔒
35
SCORE / 100
Overall
6-axis composite of the sections below.
Performance
UNDERPERFORMER
5
Valuation
CHEAP
75
Growth
DECLINING
26
Profitability
DECENT
55
Technicals
WEAK
38
Risk
HIGH
10
Key Stats
TTM PE
17.96
P/B
1.14
52W HIGH
₹1006.0
OFF HIGH
-54.98%
DIV YIELD
0.63%
MKT CAP
₹682 Cr
◉ Active Signals
MACDBearish-3.7389
RSI(14)Bearish37.18
⧉ Strategy Fit 🔒