₹15.54
+4.79% today
· 30d +2.71%
as of 2026-09-04
Price · Daily Candles
“AIRAN's Q4 Profit Soars 291% YoY, but ML Forecasts Signal Future Free Cash Flow Headwinds”
AIRAN delivered an exceptional Q4 2025 with net profit surging by 291.96% YoY and operating profit up 326.62% YoY, translating to a strong EPS of 0.62. However, despite a compelling TTM P/E of 25.39, ML predictions for free cash flow (FCF) growth indicate significant compression, with the 1-year FCF (recent 2-year) rank at a weak 0.487.
BULL CASE
+Q4 2025 net profit skyrocketed by 291.96% YoY to ₹8.0 Cr, demonstrating strong operational leverage.
+Operating profit in Q4 2025 saw a substantial increase of 326.62% YoY to ₹11.0 Cr.
+The company's OPM in Q4 2025 improved by 18.89% YoY, reaching 30.15%.
+Annual net profit for FY25 grew by 49.53% to ₹19.0 Cr, while 3-year net profit CAGR is 23.28%.
BEAR CASE
−Despite strong recent profit growth, the stock has seen a significant price decline of -37.22% over the last year.
−ML predictions show a weak rank of 0.487 for FCF 1-year recent 2-year growth and weak 0.405 for FCF 1-year rolling 4-year growth, implying future cash flow concerns.
−The annual revenue for FY25 experienced a slight decline of -1.89% YoY to ₹106.0 Cr.
−FII shareholding decreased by 0.13% QoQ, hitting 0.0% by March 2026, while public holding increased by 0.12%.
⟳ What Changed
₹ Latest Earnings · Q ending 2025-12-31
REVENUE
₹29 Cr
+9.33% YoY
NET PROFIT
₹8 Cr
+291.96% YoY
OPM
30.15%
+18.89pp YoY
EPS
₹0.62
PE 25.39
Intrinsic value · DCF: N/A — ML model predicts severe Δ FCF compression (h1=-6.3%, h2=-1.8%, h3=-0.3% of mktcap), driving projected FCF negative by year 3 despite healthy current FCF. Treating as forecast outlier rather than reporting a misleading ₹0 valuation. Use the Strategy Fit and ML sections instead.
◇ Sector Position
AIRAN, with a TTM P/E of 25.39 and ROCE of 11.0%, screens at a higher valuation and lower efficiency compared to peers like TCS (P/E 16.74, ROCE 60.1%) and Infosys (P/E 16.05, ROCE 44.44%).
PEERPEROCE %
AIRAN25.3911.0
+ 2 more peers — sign in to view
ML Forward Growth Predictions 🔒
47
SCORE / 100
Overall
6-axis composite of the sections below.
Performance
UNDERPERFORMER
5
Valuation
REASONABLE
60
Growth
STEADY
57
Profitability
HIGH
75
Technicals
NEUTRAL
55
Risk
ELEVATED
30
Key Stats
TTM PE
25.39
P/B
1.44
52W HIGH
₹27.49
OFF HIGH
-43.47%
MKT CAP
₹194 Cr
◉ Active Signals
MACDNeutral0.0417
RSI(14)Neutral59.0
⧉ Strategy Fit 🔒