₹25.2
+3.7% today
· 30d -1.79%
as of 2026-09-04
Price · Daily Candles
“ATL's Q4 operating profit jumps 25%, but negative FCF predictions loom over a neutral growth outlook.”
ATL reported an 11.89% YoY revenue increase to ₹208 Cr and a 24.99% YoY operating profit rise to ₹46 Cr for Q4 2026. However, ML models project a severe FCF compression, with H1, H2, and H3 Free Cash Flow ranks at 0.086, 0.0, and 0.036 respectively, indicating a weak outlook despite current robust FCF yield of 19.6%.
BULL CASE
+Q4 2026 revenue increased 11.89% YoY to ₹208 Cr.
+Operating profit for Q4 2026 grew 24.99% YoY to ₹46 Cr.
+Annual net profit grew 46.23% YoY to ₹44 Cr in FY26.
+Current FCF yield stands at 19.6%, with ₹145 Cr in current FCF.
BEAR CASE
−ML predictions show a weak outlook for Free Cash Flow, with ranks as low as 0.0 for FCF 1y rolling 4y.
−The stock is trading 37.65% off its 52-week high of ₹40.51.
−The 3-year net profit CAGR is negative at -8.43%.
−Its beta of 1.72 indicates elevated volatility compared to the broader market.
⟳ What Changed
₹ Latest Earnings · Q ending 2026-06-30
REVENUE
₹214 Cr
+14.5% YoY
NET PROFIT
₹6 Cr
-30.04% YoY
OPM
22.89%
+1.59pp YoY
EPS
₹0.24
PE 20.8
Intrinsic value · DCF: N/A — ML model predicts severe Δ FCF compression (h1=-50.0%, h2=-50.0%, h3=-50.0% of mktcap), driving projected FCF negative by year 3 despite healthy current FCF. Treating as forecast outlier rather than reporting a misleading ₹0 valuation. Use the Strategy Fit and ML sections instead.
◇ Sector Position
ATL's PE of 20.8 and ROCE of 12.0% position it favorably against peers like DELHIVERY (PE 227.31, ROCE 7.68%), but less efficiently than TCI (PE 16.75, ROCE 24.74%) and BLUEDART (PE 46.72, ROCE 39.0%).
PEERPEROCE %
ATL20.812.0
+ 2 more peers — sign in to view
ML Forward Growth Predictions 🔒
54
SCORE / 100
Overall
6-axis composite of the sections below.
Performance
NEUTRAL
40
Valuation
REASONABLE
60
Growth
STEADY
68
Profitability
DECENT
68
Technicals
NEUTRAL
55
Risk
ELEVATED
30
Key Stats
TTM PE
20.8
P/B
2.06
52W HIGH
₹40.51
OFF HIGH
-37.79%
MKT CAP
₹739 Cr
◉ Active Signals
MACDNeutral-0.142
RSI(14)Neutral51.88
⧉ Strategy Fit 🔒