₹2185.2
-3.54% today
· 30d +22.76%
as of 2026-09-04
Price · Daily Candles
“AVALON's revenue surges 40% in Q4, but FIIs are fading, and valuations remain stretched.”
AVALON is demonstrating significant growth, with Q4 revenue up 40.0% YoY to ₹480 Cr and net profit jumping 69.51% YoY to ₹41 Cr. However, its TTM PE of 102.95 and PB of 16.11 indicate a stretched valuation compared to its sector peers. FII holdings also decreased by 1.46% QoQ in the latest quarter.
BULL CASE
+Annual revenue surged by 45.99% YoY to ₹1603 Cr in FY26, following a 3-year CAGR of 18.67%.
+Net profit recorded impressive growth, climbing 78.04% YoY to ₹113 Cr in FY26, with a 5-year CAGR of 39.36%.
+Quarterly operating profit increased by 54.47% YoY to ₹69 Cr, with the operating profit margin expanding by 1.11 percentage points.
+The stock has delivered strong price performance, with a 1-year return of 99.26% and a 3-month return of 61.44%.
BEAR CASE
−The TTM PE ratio of 102.95 and PB ratio of 16.11 are significantly higher than sector averages, indicating a stretched valuation.
−FII shareholding decreased by 1.46 percentage points QoQ to 24.72% in the quarter ending June 2026.
−The ML model predicts weak rolling 4-year and stable 7-year Free Cash Flow growth, with ranks of 0.09 and 0.0 respectively.
−The stock is trading 5.54% off its 52-week high of ₹1853.0.
⟳ What Changed
₹ Latest Earnings · Q ending 2026-06-30
REVENUE
₹484 Cr
+49.83% YoY
NET PROFIT
₹35 Cr
+145.31% YoY
OPM
12.47%
+2.77pp YoY
EPS
₹5.22
PE 102.95
Intrinsic value · DCF: N/A — ML model predicts severe Δ FCF compression (h1=-46.5%, h2=-36.2%, h3=-32.6% of mktcap), driving projected FCF negative by year 3 despite healthy current FCF. Treating as forecast outlier rather than reporting a misleading ₹0 valuation. Use the Strategy Fit and ML sections instead.
◇ Sector Position
AVALON commands a premium valuation with a TTM PE of 102.95, notably higher than peers like KAYNES (59.91) and KRN (105.97), while its ROCE of 20.0% positions it favorably against SYRMA's 18.63%.
PEERPEROCE %
AVALON102.9520.0
+ 2 more peers — sign in to view
ML Forward Growth Predictions 🔒
69
SCORE / 100
Overall
6-axis composite of the sections below.
Performance
STRONG
100
Valuation
STRETCHED
5
Growth
STRONG
82
Profitability
HIGH
75
Technicals
STRONG
70
Risk
LOW
80
Key Stats
TTM PE
102.95
P/B
16.11
52W HIGH
₹2400.0
OFF HIGH
-8.95%
MKT CAP
₹14627 Cr
◉ Active Signals
MACDNeutral-9.1122
RSI(14)Neutral55.68
Street Consensus
15 analysts₹1377.0
mean target
Low ₹705.0Now ₹2185.2High ₹2050.0
⧉ Strategy Fit 🔒