ftInvstr
COALINDIA · Energy ₹401.5 +0.12% Mkt Cap ₹248655 Cr undervalued

COALINDIA

Energy Thermal Coal
₹401.5
+0.12% today · 30d -2.16%
as of 2026-11-09
Price · Daily Candles
“Coal India ignites quarterly profit with a 13.71% surge, as DIIs fuel ownership.”
Coal India posted a strong Q4 FY26 with net profit growing 13.71% YoY to ₹10,908 Cr and revenue up 22.91% YoY to ₹46,490 Cr. The company's annual net profit, however, saw an 11.99% decline YoY in FY26, despite a 17.46% increase in annual revenue. The stock trades at an attractive 9.08x TTM PE ratio with a high ROE of 35.0%.
BULL CASE
+Q4 FY26 net profit surged 13.71% YoY to ₹10,908 Cr, driven by a 22.91% YoY increase in revenue to ₹46,490 Cr.
+The company boasts a high profitability score of 95 ('HIGH') and a low risk score of 90 ('LOW') by our business scoring model.
+It trades at a favorable TTM PE of 9.08x and offers a dividend yield of 4.8%.
+ML predictions show strong sales growth over recent 2 years (rank 0.865) and rolling 4 years (rank 0.641).
BEAR CASE
−Annual net profit for FY26 decreased by 11.99% YoY, despite a 17.46% increase in annual revenue.
−The 3-year net profit CAGR is negative at -0.73% ending March 2026.
−ML model predicts severe FCF compression, projecting free cash flow to be negative by year 3.
−Q4 OPM declined by 3.17 percentage points YoY, indicating margin pressures.
⟳ What Changed
₹ Latest Earnings · Q ending 2026-06-30
REVENUE
₹46255 Cr
+29.05% YoY
NET PROFIT
₹8850 Cr
+1.32% YoY
OPM
29.21%
-8.53pp YoY
EPS
₹14.36
PE 9.08
Intrinsic value · DCF ₹982.85 · Margin of safety +144.8% (undervalued) · FCF yield 12.52%
◇ Sector Position
Coal India, with a TTM PE of 9.08x and RoCE of 35.0%, trades at a significantly lower valuation but exhibits a higher return on capital employed compared to peers like Adani Enterprises (PE 41.38x, RoCE 13.73%) and GMDCLTD (PE 23.04x, RoCE 13.74%).
PEERPEROCE %
COALINDIA9.0835.0
ADANIENT41.3813.73
GMDCLTD23.0413.74
GMRP&UI—35.19
+ 2 more peers — sign in to view
ML Forward Growth Predictions 🔒

9 ML-predicted forward-growth ranks across sales, EBIT, and FCF.

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72
SCORE / 100
Overall
6-axis composite of the sections below.
Performance POSITIVE 55
Valuation CHEAP 90
Growth STEADY 50
Profitability HIGH 95
Technicals NEUTRAL 55
Risk LOW 90
Key Stats
TTM PE
9.08
P/B
2.37
52W HIGH
₹491.25
OFF HIGH
-18.27%
DIV YIELD
4.8%
MKT CAP
₹248655 Cr
◉ Active Signals
MACDNeutral0.4582
RSI(14)Neutral46.92
Near 52W LowBearish8.63
Street Consensus
26 analysts
₹450.81
mean target
Low ₹290.0Now ₹401.5High ₹550.0
⧉ Strategy Fit 🔒

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