ftInvstr
COFFEEDAY · Consumer Cyclical ₹32.86 +4.98% Mkt Cap ₹697 Cr

COFFEEDAY

Consumer Cyclical Restaurants
₹32.86
+4.98% today · 30d -4.2%
as of 2026-09-04
Price · Daily Candles
“COFFEEDAY's Q4 revenue jumps +4.66% YoY, but promoter holding remains constrained at 7.83%.”
Coffee Day Enterprises reported a Q4 revenue increase of 4.66% YoY to ₹281 Cr, accompanied by a 62.24% YoY surge in operating profit to ₹64 Cr. Despite a compelling TTM P/E of 3.32 and a P/B of 0.29, the company faces significant promoter holding challenges at 7.83% and exhibits a weak ROACE of 1.0%.
BULL CASE
+Q4 revenue increased by 4.66% YoY to ₹281 Cr.
+Operating profit for Q4 surged by 62.24% YoY to ₹64 Cr.
+The trailing twelve months (TTM) P/E ratio is 3.32, with a P/B of 0.29, indicating a potentially undervalued stock.
+The company's FCF yield stands at a strong 21.24%, suggesting robust cash generation relative to its market cap of ₹688 Cr.
BEAR CASE
Promoter holding remains low at 7.83%, with public ownership at a high 88.94%.
The Return on Capital Employed (ROCE) is a weak 1.0%, significantly below sector peers.
The stock has seen a 1-month return of -15.04% and a 1-year return of -11.23%.
ML model predicts severe FCF compression for the next year, with median rank for FCF growth at a weak 0.013.
⟳ What Changed
₹ Latest Earnings · Q ending 2026-06-30
REVENUE
₹290 Cr
+7.64% YoY
NET PROFIT
₹5 Cr
-78.14% YoY
OPM
17.29%
+3.43pp YoY
EPS
₹0.04
PE 3.32
Intrinsic value · DCF: N/A — ML model predicts severe Δ FCF compression (h1=-49.1%, h2=-50.0%, h3=-50.0% of mktcap), driving projected FCF negative by year 3 despite healthy current FCF. Treating as forecast outlier rather than reporting a misleading ₹0 valuation. Use the Strategy Fit and ML sections instead.
◇ Sector Position
Coffee Day trades at a TTM P/E of 3.32 and has an anemic ROCE of 1.0%, significantly lagging sector leaders like Travel Food Services (P/E 38.99, ROCE 51.99%) and Westlife Foodworld (P/E 243.78, ROCE 52.44%).
PEERPEROCE %
COFFEEDAY3.321.0
JUBLFOOD67.3525.74
TRAVELFOOD38.9951.99
DEVYANI1569.7720.65
+ 2 more peers — sign in to view
ML Forward Growth Predictions 🔒

9 ML-predicted forward-growth ranks across sales, EBIT, and FCF.

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51
SCORE / 100
Overall
6-axis composite of the sections below.
Performance UNDERPERFORMER 5
Valuation CHEAP 90
Growth MUTED 48
Profitability DECENT 52
Technicals WEAK 40
Risk LOW 70
Key Stats
TTM PE
3.32
P/B
0.29
52W HIGH
₹51.46
OFF HIGH
-36.14%
MKT CAP
₹697 Cr
◉ Active Signals
MACDNeutral0.3429
RSI(14)Bullish64.64
⧉ Strategy Fit 🔒

See which of ftInvstr's 50+ strategies hold COFFEEDAY and at what entry.

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