₹824.85
+0.13% today
· 30d +1.46%
as of 2026-11-09
Price · Daily Candles
“Cosmo First: Strong Q4 Profit Surge Contrasts with Weak FCF and FII Exit.”
Cosmo First posted robust Q4 2026 results, with net profit surging 36.2% YoY to ₹37 crore and revenue up 36.85% YoY to ₹1021 crore. However, annual net profit CAGR shows a decline of -13.85% over 3 years and -8.02% over 5 years. The company currently has negative Free Cash Flow (FCF) with ML predictions for FCF growth ranking weak (0.23, 0.0, 0.0 for various lookbacks).
BULL CASE
+Q4 2026 net profit jumped 36.2% YoY to ₹37 crore, with operating profit up 61.32% YoY to ₹138 crore.
+Quarterly revenue grew by 36.85% YoY to ₹1021 crore, indicating strong top-line performance.
+ML predictions for Sales (1yr, recent 2yr) are strong with a rank of 0.707.
+The stock is trading at a PE of 13.78, which is below the sector average, and has a low beta of 0.97.
BEAR CASE
−Despite strong quarterly growth, the 3-year net profit CAGR is -13.85% and 5-year is -8.02%, indicating fundamental profit decline over the longer term.
−The company has negative free cash flow of -₹15 crore, resulting in a -0.77% FCF yield, making intrinsic value calculations not applicable.
−FIIs reduced their stake by 0.55% QoQ to 2.13% in Q1 2026.
−ML predictions for Free Cash Flow (FCF) growth across all lookbacks are weak, with ranks of 0.23, 0.0, and 0.0.
⟳ What Changed
₹ Latest Earnings · Q ending 2026-09-30
REVENUE
₹1388 Cr
+51.01% YoY
NET PROFIT
₹99 Cr
+111.14% YoY
OPM
12.47%
-1.13pp YoY
EPS
₹37.98
PE 13.78
Intrinsic value · DCF: N/A — Company is currently free-cash-flow negative (-0.7% of mktcap). DCF assumes a going concern generating positive cash flow; a meaningful intrinsic value can only be computed once FCF turns positive. Use the Strategy Fit and ML sections instead.
◇ Sector Position
Cosmo First's PE of 13.78 is lower than sector peers like TIMETECHNO (22.56) and EPL (18.04), but its ROCE of 11.0% lags behind TIMETECHNO (23.82%) and EPL (31.35%).
PEERPEROCE %
COSMOFIRST13.7811.0
+ 2 more peers — sign in to view
ML Forward Growth Predictions 🔒
61
SCORE / 100
Overall
6-axis composite of the sections below.
Performance
NEUTRAL
40
Valuation
CHEAP
75
Growth
STRONG
74
Profitability
DECENT
58
Technicals
WEAK
47
Risk
LOW
70
Key Stats
TTM PE
13.78
P/B
1.24
52W HIGH
₹996.0
OFF HIGH
-17.18%
DIV YIELD
0.52%
MKT CAP
₹2144 Cr
◉ Active Signals
MACDNeutral13.162
RSI(14)Neutral55.89
⧉ Strategy Fit 🔒