₹1.92
-1.54% today
· 30d -11.92%
as of 2026-09-04
Price · Daily Candles
“DUCON's profitability dips, yet valuation remains attractive despite significant 1Y price correction.”
DUCON, a Specialty Industrial Machinery player, reported a steep -32.15% YoY net profit decline and -16.27% YoY revenue drop in Q4 2025. Despite this, its PE ratio of 9.03 and PB ratio of 0.47 suggest the stock is cheap relative to its book value. The stock has seen a significant -40.54% 1-year price drop, pushing its current price to 50.97% off its 52-week high.
BULL CASE
+The stock is trading at a TTM PE of 9.03 and PB of 0.47, indicating it is cheap based on its business score.
+DUCON's 3-year annual net profit CAGR stands at a strong 45.13%, with a 5-year CAGR of 73.67%.
+ML predictions for FCF show neutral growth ranks over 2, 4, and 7-year horizons (0.571, 0.580, 0.563 respectively).
BEAR CASE
−Q4 2025 saw a significant -16.27% YoY revenue decline and a -32.15% YoY net profit drop to ₹2.0 Cr.
−The stock price has plummeted -40.54% over the last year, and is currently 50.97% off its 52-week high of ₹7.18.
−Free Cash Flow is negative at -₹29.0 Cr, resulting in a -25.05% FCF yield, posing a concern for intrinsic valuation.
−The company has an elevated risk score of 30, and its profitability score is average at 45.
⟳ What Changed
₹ Latest Earnings · Q ending 2026-06-30
REVENUE
₹104 Cr
-7.0% YoY
NET PROFIT
₹2 Cr
-30.78% YoY
OPM
5.19%
-1.21pp YoY
EPS
₹0.07
PE 9.03
Intrinsic value · DCF: N/A — ML model predicts severe Δ FCF compression (h1=-50.0%, h2=-50.0%, h3=-50.0% of mktcap), driving projected FCF negative by year 3 despite healthy current FCF. Treating as forecast outlier rather than reporting a misleading ₹0 valuation. Use the Strategy Fit and ML sections instead.
◇ Sector Position
DUCON trades at a significantly lower TTM PE of 9.03 and ROCE of 12.0% compared to peers like CUMMINSIND (PE: 75.1, ROCE: 35.32%) and BHEL (PE: 90.9, ROCE: 4.83%).
PEERPEROCE %
DUCON9.0312.0
+ 2 more peers — sign in to view
ML Forward Growth Predictions 🔒
37
SCORE / 100
Overall
6-axis composite of the sections below.
Performance
UNDERPERFORMER
5
Valuation
CHEAP
90
Growth
DECLINING
29
Profitability
AVERAGE
45
Technicals
BEARISH
23
Risk
ELEVATED
30
Key Stats
TTM PE
9.03
P/B
0.47
52W HIGH
₹4.57
OFF HIGH
-57.94%
MKT CAP
₹88 Cr
◉ Active Signals
MACDBearish-0.0386
RSI(14)Bearish39.95
⧉ Strategy Fit 🔒