₹6.58
-1.79% today
· 30d +4.44%
as of 2026-09-04
Price · Daily Candles
“Exxaro grapples with plummeting profits as Q4 profit drops -94.37% YoY, despite revenue growth.”
Exxaro, a small-cap player in Building Products & Equipment with a ₹293 Cr market cap, faces significant profit pressure. Q4 2026 net profit collapsed by 94.37% YoY, while operating profit fell by 40.07% YoY, despite a modest 5.18% YoY revenue increase to ₹100 Cr. This disparity highlights a severe compression in profitability.
BULL CASE
+Revenue for Q4 2026 saw a 5.18% YoY increase, reaching ₹100 Cr.
+Annual revenue for FY2026 grew modestly by 0.23% YoY to ₹305 Cr.
+The stock is trading 39.73% off its 52-week high of ₹10.95, potentially offering a discount.
+The ML prediction for long-term stable sales growth (7-year horizon) is neutral (0.445 rank).
BEAR CASE
−Q4 2026 net profit saw a dramatic decline of -94.37% YoY, falling to ₹0 Cr.
−Operating profit for Q4 2026 decreased by -40.07% YoY, bringing operating profit margin down by -4.52% YoY.
−The TTM PE ratio stands at a stretched 109.17x, significantly higher than its ROCE of 4.0%.
−The 3-year net profit CAGR is a negative -26.94%, indicating prolonged profitability challenges.
−ML predictions for free cash flow show a weak rank (0.205 for recent 2-year and 0.104 for stable 7-year).
₹ Latest Earnings · Q ending 2026-03-31
REVENUE
₹100 Cr
+5.18% YoY
NET PROFIT
₹0 Cr
-94.37% YoY
OPM
5.99%
-4.52pp YoY
EPS
₹0.0
PE 109.17
Intrinsic value · DCF: N/A — ML model predicts severe Δ FCF compression (h1=-50.0%, h2=-50.0%, h3=-50.0% of mktcap), driving projected FCF negative by year 3 despite healthy current FCF. Treating as forecast outlier rather than reporting a misleading ₹0 valuation. Use the Strategy Fit and ML sections instead.
◇ Sector Position
Exxaro trades at a TTM PE of 109.17x with a ROCE of 4.0%, significantly above sector peers like Supreme Industries (PE 47.57x, ROCE 27.5%) and Astral (PE 80.97x, ROCE 25.28%) which demonstrate stronger profitability.
PEERPEROCE %
EXXARO109.174.0
+ 2 more peers — sign in to view
ML Forward Growth Predictions 🔒
40
SCORE / 100
Overall
6-axis composite of the sections below.
Performance
UNDERPERFORMER
20
Valuation
STRETCHED
5
Growth
MUTED
48
Profitability
AVERAGE
30
Technicals
NEUTRAL
65
Risk
LOW
70
Key Stats
TTM PE
109.17
P/B
1.1
52W HIGH
₹10.33
OFF HIGH
-36.3%
MKT CAP
₹292 Cr
◉ Active Signals
MACDBullish0.0527
RSI(14)Neutral52.98
Near 52W LowBearish9.85
⧉ Strategy Fit 🔒