₹962.85
+1.03% today
· 30d +7.22%
as of 2026-11-09
Price · Daily Candles
“HINDALCO's Q4 Profit Plunges 45% Amidst Revenue Gains, FIIs Increase Stake”
HINDALCO closed Q4 2025 with revenue up 13.93% YoY to ₹66,521 Cr, yet net profit saw a significant 45.14% YoY decline to ₹2,049 Cr. Despite this profit dip, FIIs have increased their stake by 1.8% QoQ, holding 34.13% as of March 2026, while the stock has returned 67.06% over the last year.
BULL CASE
+Annual revenue grew 9.64% YoY to ₹238,496 Cr in March 2025, with net profit surging 57.58% YoY.
+The stock has delivered strong returns, with 1-year returns at 67.06% and 6-month returns at 39.98%.
+FIIs increased their shareholding by 1.8% QoQ, reaching 34.13% as of March 2026.
+ML predictions show strong ranks for EBIT 1-year recent 2-year (0.714) and EBIT 1-year rolling 4-year (0.751) growth.
+The company is currently trading with a 68.1% margin of safety against its intrinsic value of ₹1861.67 per share.
BEAR CASE
−Q4 2025 net profit declined sharply by 45.14% YoY to ₹2,049 Cr, despite a revenue increase.
−DIIs reduced their stake by 1.82% QoQ, holding 21.47% as of March 2026.
−The trailing twelve months (TTM) PE ratio of 18.35 is higher than peer NATIONALUM's 13.19.
−Operating profit margin (OPM) saw a 1.0% QoQ decrease in Q4 2025.
⟳ What Changed
₹ Latest Earnings · Q ending 2026-09-30
REVENUE
₹91708 Cr
+38.83% YoY
NET PROFIT
₹7533 Cr
+58.89% YoY
OPM
14.85%
+0.35pp YoY
EPS
₹33.93
PE 18.35
Intrinsic value · DCF: N/A — Company is currently free-cash-flow negative (-9.2% of mktcap). DCF assumes a going concern generating positive cash flow; a meaningful intrinsic value can only be computed once FCF turns positive. Use the Strategy Fit and ML sections instead.
◇ Sector Position
HINDALCO's TTM PE of 18.35 and ROCE of 15.0% position it above NATIONALUM (PE 13.19, ROCE 40.57%) but with a more favourable valuation than ARFIN (PE 102.03, ROCE 20.63%) within the Aluminum sector.
PEERPEROCE %
HINDALCO18.3515.0
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ML Forward Growth Predictions 🔒
67
SCORE / 100
Overall
6-axis composite of the sections below.
Performance
STRONG
75
Valuation
CHEAP
75
Growth
STEADY
52
Profitability
DECENT
68
Technicals
NEUTRAL
50
Risk
LOW
80
Key Stats
TTM PE
18.35
P/B
1.82
52W HIGH
₹1176.0
OFF HIGH
-18.12%
DIV YIELD
0.45%
MKT CAP
₹214647 Cr
◉ Active Signals
MACDBullish11.5685
RSI(14)Bullish63.8
Street Consensus
26 analysts₹1105.46
mean target
Low ₹850.0Now ₹962.85High ₹1430.0
⧉ Strategy Fit 🔒