₹305.7
+0.89% today
· 30d -10.76%
as of 2026-09-04
Price · Daily Candles
“HPL Lights Up Profits: Net Income Surges 115.72% Annually Amid FII Inflows”
HPL reported strong annual net profit growth of 115.72% for FY25, coupled with a 20.75% rise in Q4FY25 revenue, signaling operational strength. Despite a 21.04% 1-year price decline, its current PE of 24.82 and ROCE of 14.0% position it modestly within the sector, while FIIs increased their stake by 0.24% in Q4FY25.
BULL CASE
+Annual net profit surged by 115.72% for the period ending March 31, 2025, reaching ₹94 Cr.
+Quarterly revenue saw a strong 20.75% YoY growth, hitting ₹474 Cr for the period ending December 31, 2025.
+FIIs increased their stake by 0.24% QoQ, holding 0.51% as of March 31, 2026.
+The 3-year revenue CAGR stands at 18.8% with a net profit CAGR of 129.21% for the period ended March 31, 2025.
+The stock is trading at a PE of 24.82, which is significantly lower than some peers like POLYCAB (54.17) and CGPOWER (114.79).
BEAR CASE
−The stock price has declined by 21.04% over the last year and is 40.79% off its 52-week high of ₹639.9.
−The intrinsic value analysis suggests the stock is 'overvalued' with a margin of safety of -73.4% and an intrinsic value per share of ₹100.74 against a current price of ₹378.9.
−Forecasted free cash flow growth is negative across all horizons, with H1 at -1.53% of mktcap.
−The ROCE of 14.0% is lower than industry leaders like CGPOWER (34.54%) and POLYCAB (30.94%).
⟳ What Changed
₹ Latest Earnings · Q ending 2026-06-30
REVENUE
₹515 Cr
+34.52% YoY
NET PROFIT
₹19 Cr
+1.15% YoY
OPM
12.63%
-2.77pp YoY
EPS
₹2.9
PE 24.82
Intrinsic value · DCF: N/A — ML model predicts severe Δ FCF compression (h1=-45.2%, h2=-41.0%, h3=-37.4% of mktcap), driving projected FCF negative by year 3 despite healthy current FCF. Treating as forecast outlier rather than reporting a misleading ₹0 valuation. Use the Strategy Fit and ML sections instead.
◇ Sector Position
HPL, with a PE of 24.82 and ROCE of 14.0%, trades at a significant discount compared to peers like POLYCAB (PE 54.17, ROCE 30.94%) and CGPOWER (PE 114.79, ROCE 34.54%).
PEERPEROCE %
HPL24.8214.0
+ 2 more peers — sign in to view
ML Forward Growth Predictions 🔒
38
SCORE / 100
Overall
6-axis composite of the sections below.
Performance
UNDERPERFORMER
5
Valuation
REASONABLE
60
Growth
MUTED
46
Profitability
DECENT
58
Technicals
WEAK
30
Risk
ELEVATED
30
Key Stats
TTM PE
24.82
P/B
2.53
52W HIGH
₹517.75
OFF HIGH
-40.96%
DIV YIELD
0.27%
MKT CAP
₹1945 Cr
◉ Active Signals
MACDBearish-0.1746
RSI(14)Bearish39.15
⧉ Strategy Fit 🔒