ftInvstr
INCREDIBLE · Basic Materials ₹32.55 +1.4% Mkt Cap ₹151 Cr

INCREDIBLE

Basic Materials Steel
₹32.55
+1.4% today · 30d -3.41%
as of 2026-09-04
Price · Daily Candles
“INCREDIBLE's net profit plunges 40% QoQ despite revenue uptick, valuation flags 'overvalued' warning.”
INCREDIBLE reported a 16.75% YoY revenue growth in Q4 2025 to ₹189.0 Cr, yet net profit for the same period crashed by 40.72%. Annually, net profit more than doubled, increasing by 108.82% in FY25 to ₹12.0 Cr. The platform's intrinsic value calculation indicates the stock is 'overvalued' with a -30.4% margin of safety.
BULL CASE
+Q4 2025 revenue grew 16.75% YoY to ₹189.0 Cr.
+Annual net profit for FY25 surged by 108.82% to ₹12.0 Cr.
+Promoter shareholding remains strong at 74.96% as of March 2026, with no QoQ change.
+Company trades at a TTM P/E of 13.39, significantly lower than sector leaders like JSWSTEEL (P/E 90.1) and TATASTEEL (P/E 76.74).
BEAR CASE
Q4 2025 net profit plummeted 40.72% YoY despite revenue growth.
Intrinsic value suggests the stock is overvalued by 30.4%, with a current price of ₹37.23 vs. intrinsic value of ₹25.91.
Quarterly operating profit margin (OPM) saw a marginal decrease of 0.02% YoY to 2.58% in Q4 2025.
Free Cash Flow (FCF) predictions across all timeframes are negative, with sales growth prediction for 1 year rolling 4 years a weak -0.0219.
⟳ What Changed
₹ Latest Earnings · Q ending 2026-06-30
REVENUE
₹213 Cr
-3.06% YoY
NET PROFIT
₹4 Cr
+6.66% YoY
OPM
3.3%
+0.29pp YoY
EPS
₹0.87
PE 13.39
Intrinsic value · DCF: N/A — Company is currently free-cash-flow negative (-8.8% of mktcap). DCF assumes a going concern generating positive cash flow; a meaningful intrinsic value can only be computed once FCF turns positive. Use the Strategy Fit and ML sections instead.
◇ Sector Position
INCREDIBLE's P/E of 13.39 is substantially lower than most peers like JSWSTEEL (P/E 90.1) and TATASTEEL (P/E 76.74), but lags behind peers like NMDC (ROCE 31.08%) in terms of profitability.
PEERPEROCE %
INCREDIBLE13.39
JSWSTEEL90.112.68
TATASTEEL76.7413.82
LLOYDSME28.3327.44
+ 2 more peers — sign in to view
ML Forward Growth Predictions 🔒

9 ML-predicted forward-growth ranks across sales, EBIT, and FCF.

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44
SCORE / 100
Overall
6-axis composite of the sections below.
Performance UNDERPERFORMER 20
Valuation CHEAP 75
Growth MUTED 49
Profitability AVERAGE 30
Technicals WEAK 37
Risk MODERATE 50
Key Stats
TTM PE
13.39
P/B
1.11
52W HIGH
₹52.87
OFF HIGH
-38.43%
MKT CAP
₹151 Cr
◉ Active Signals
MACDBearish-0.0143
RSI(14)Neutral48.21
⧉ Strategy Fit 🔒

See which of ftInvstr's 50+ strategies hold INCREDIBLE and at what entry.

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