₹5003.0
+0.48% today
· 30d -6.13%
as of 2026-09-04
Price · Daily Candles
“Indigo's Q4 Profit Tumbles 77% Amidst Operational Headwinds, But Sales Growth Steady”
InterGlobe Aviation (Indigo) recorded a significant 77.58% YoY drop in net profit to ₹549 Cr in the latest quarter, despite a 6.16% revenue growth to ₹23,472 Cr. Annual sales growth remains robust at 13.44% to ₹80,803 Cr, suggesting operational challenges rather than demand issues. The stock is trading at a PE of 54.1, significantly above its intrinsic value of ₹2482.91 per share.
BULL CASE
+Annual revenue witnessed a 13.44% YoY increase, reaching ₹80,803 Cr, demonstrating consistent top-line expansion.
+Quarterly revenue grew 6.16% YoY to ₹23,472 Cr, indicating continued demand for air travel.
+The company maintains a high profitability score of 85, suggesting strong underlying business economics despite quarterly profit swings.
+ML predictions show strong sales growth ranks: sales_1y_recent_2y rank is 0.707, sales_1y_rolling_4y rank is 0.703, and sales_1y_stable_7y rank is 0.81.
BEAR CASE
−Net profit plunged by 77.58% YoY to ₹549 Cr in the last quarter, signaling significant earnings pressure.
−The stock is trading at a TTM PE of 54.1 and PB of 18.48, significantly higher than its intrinsic value of ₹2482.91, implying it is 'overvalued' with a -44.6% margin of safety.
−FIIs significantly reduced their stake by 3.35% QoQ, now holding 21.64% of the company.
−The stock has seen a 17.62% decline over the last year and is 28.07% off its 52-week high of ₹6232.5.
⟳ What Changed
₹ Latest Earnings · Q ending 2026-06-30
REVENUE
₹24584 Cr
+19.94% YoY
NET PROFIT
₹-238 Cr
-110.94% YoY
OPM
16.78%
-12.34pp YoY
EPS
₹-6.15
PE 54.1
Intrinsic value · DCF: N/A — ML model predicts severe Δ FCF compression (h1=-10.4%, h2=-14.3%, h3=-11.6% of mktcap), driving projected FCF negative by year 3 despite healthy current FCF. Treating as forecast outlier rather than reporting a misleading ₹0 valuation. Use the Strategy Fit and ML sections instead.
ML Forward Growth Predictions 🔒
42
SCORE / 100
Overall
6-axis composite of the sections below.
Performance
NEUTRAL
40
Valuation
STRETCHED
20
Growth
MUTED
36
Profitability
HIGH
78
Technicals
WEAK
45
Risk
ELEVATED
30
Key Stats
TTM PE
54.1
P/B
18.48
52W HIGH
₹6173.5
OFF HIGH
-18.96%
DIV YIELD
0.24%
MKT CAP
₹193345 Cr
◉ Active Signals
MACDBearish-28.9589
RSI(14)Bearish38.6
Street Consensus
25 analysts₹5398.88
mean target
Low ₹4050.0Now ₹5003.0High ₹6600.0
⧉ Strategy Fit 🔒