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ITC · Consumer Defensive ₹278.25 -1.83% Mkt Cap ₹348344 Cr undervalued

ITC

Consumer Defensive Tobacco
₹278.25
-1.83% today · 30d +4.61%
as of 2026-11-09
Price · Daily Candles
“ITC slumps 30%+ from 52-week high as DIIs step up buying amidst FII exodus.”
ITC's share price has seen a significant 30.67% decline over the past year, trading 32% below its 52-week high of ₹444.2. This contrasts with annual revenue growth of 10.17% and a strong dividend yield of 5.19%. While Q4 net profit plunged 72.39% YoY, the company's annual net profit growth for the past 5 years stands at 9.45%.
BULL CASE
+DIIs increased their stake by 0.26% QoQ to 49.15% in Q4 2026, showcasing conviction amidst price correction.
+The company maintains strong profitability with a 5-year net profit CAGR of 9.45% and annual revenue growth of 10.17% in FY26.
+ITC offers an attractive dividend yield of 5.19%, despite recent price volatility.
+The stock trades at a TTM PE of 18.27, which is notably lower than sector peer GODFRYPHLP at 32.27.
BEAR CASE
−Net profit recorded a substantial 72.39% YoY decline in Q4 2026, with annual net profit down 40.04% YoY.
−The stock has had a difficult year, dropping 30.67% over the last 12 months and is 32.0% off its 52-week high of ₹444.2.
−FIIs have reduced their stake by 1.28% QoQ, with current holdings at 34.83%.
−Technical indicators like MACD and RSI(14) are weakly neutral, and the stock is bearishly near its 52-week low with a value of 5.24%.
⟳ What Changed
₹ Latest Earnings · Q ending 2026-09-30
REVENUE
₹30578 Cr
+43.86% YoY
NET PROFIT
₹4229 Cr
-18.46% YoY
OPM
19.79%
-13.54pp YoY
EPS
₹3.32
PE 18.27
Intrinsic value · DCF ₹467.52 · Margin of safety +68.0% (undervalued) · FCF yield 4.67%
◇ Sector Position
ITC, with a TTM PE of 18.27 and ROCE of 37.0%, presents a more attractive valuation and stronger return on capital compared to sector peer GODFRYPHLP (PE 32.27, ROCE 27.51%), positioning it competitively within the tobacco industry.
PEERPEROCE %
ITC18.2737.0
GODFRYPHLP32.2727.51
VSTIND15.030.76
GOLDENTOBC6.42-6.07
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58
SCORE / 100
Overall
6-axis composite of the sections below.
Performance UNDERPERFORMER 5
Valuation CHEAP 75
Growth MUTED 43
Profitability HIGH 88
Technicals NEUTRAL 58
Risk LOW 80
Key Stats
TTM PE
18.27
P/B
5.32
52W HIGH
₹426.4
OFF HIGH
-34.74%
DIV YIELD
5.19%
MKT CAP
₹348344 Cr
◉ Active Signals
MACDBullish2.3602
RSI(14)Bullish60.66
Street Consensus
32 analysts
₹359.19
mean target
Low ₹290.0Now ₹278.25High ₹486.0
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