₹66.28
-1.75% today
· 30d +26.66%
as of 2026-09-04
Price · Daily Candles
“MOL's earnings plunge and bearish MACD signal pressure stock, down 35.23% in a year.”
MOL, an agricultural inputs company with a market cap of ₹1313.0 Cr, has seen its stock price drop 35.23% over the last year. This aligns with a significant quarterly net profit decline of 59.47% YoY to ₹8.0 Cr and a 3-year CAGR for net profit at -50.55%, despite annual revenue rising 4.53% to ₹2174.0 Cr.
BULL CASE
+QoQ FII shareholding saw a slight increase of 0.01% to 1.34% as of March 31, 2026.
+Despite profit challenges, annual revenue grew 4.53% YoY to ₹2174.0 Cr for the year ending March 31, 2026.
+The stock is trading at 51.46% off its 52-week high of ₹106.3, potentially offering an entry point for some investors.
BEAR CASE
−Net profit saw a considerable YoY decline of 59.47% in Q4 2026, dropping to ₹8.0 Cr from the prior year's ₹19.74 Cr.
−Quarterly revenue fell by 14.3% YoY to ₹474.0 Cr as of March 31, 2026.
−The company's PE ratio of 45.69 is significantly higher than peers like UPL (28.81) and COROMANDEL (26.34) despite a modest ROCE of 7.0%.
−ML models predict weak 1-year FCF growth across all horizons (recent 2yr, rolling 4yr, stable 7yr) with ranks at 0.004, 0.0, and 0.0 respectively.
−The stock is currently under a 'strong' bearish MACD signal, with a value of -0.5669.
⟳ What Changed
₹ Latest Earnings · Q ending 2026-06-30
REVENUE
₹543 Cr
-11.54% YoY
NET PROFIT
₹48 Cr
+279.98% YoY
OPM
19.8%
+6.55pp YoY
EPS
₹1.9
PE 45.69
Intrinsic value · DCF: N/A — ML model predicts severe Δ FCF compression (h1=-45.5%, h2=-48.2%, h3=-48.2% of mktcap), driving projected FCF negative by year 3 despite healthy current FCF. Treating as forecast outlier rather than reporting a misleading ₹0 valuation. Use the Strategy Fit and ML sections instead.
◇ Sector Position
MOL trades at a high PE of 45.69 with a ROCE of 7.0%, significantly underperforming sector peers like COROMANDEL (PE 26.34, ROCE 27.5%) and PIIND (PE 25.93, ROCE 24.24%).
PEERPEROCE %
MOL45.697.0
+ 2 more peers — sign in to view
ML Forward Growth Predictions 🔒
44
SCORE / 100
Overall
6-axis composite of the sections below.
Performance
UNDERPERFORMER
20
Valuation
FAIR
40
Growth
MUTED
47
Profitability
DECENT
52
Technicals
STRONG
73
Risk
ELEVATED
30
Key Stats
TTM PE
45.69
P/B
0.84
52W HIGH
₹88.88
OFF HIGH
-25.43%
MKT CAP
₹1687 Cr
◉ Active Signals
MACDBullish0.2193
RSI(14)Bullish65.9
⧉ Strategy Fit 🔒