₹137.91
-1.08% today
· 30d -16.27%
as of 2026-11-09
Price · Daily Candles
“NOCIL's Profitability Struggles Continue as DIIs Increase Stake Amidst Bearish Technicals”
NOCIL reported a significant -45.92% YoY decline in annual net profit for FY26, alongside a -6.44% drop in revenue to ₹1303 Cr. Quarterly net profit also fell -18.23% YoY to ₹17 Cr, despite a marginal revenue decline of -2.75% to ₹330 Cr.
BULL CASE
+DIIs increased their stake by 1.42 percentage points QoQ to 7.91% in Q4 FY26.
+The stock is trading 19.93% below its 52-week high of ₹211.0, potentially offering a value entry.
+The company maintains a low beta of 0.48, suggesting lower volatility compared to the broader market.
+The trailing dividend yield stands at 0.91%.
BEAR CASE
−Annual net profit plummeted by -45.92% YoY to ₹56 Cr in FY26, following a -6.44% revenue decline.
−Quarterly net profit for Q4 FY26 fell -18.23% YoY to ₹17 Cr, with operating profit also down -12.23%.
−ML predictions indicate weak future free cash flow (FCF), with a rank of 0.0 for stable 7-year FCF growth.
−The stock's PE (TTM) of 50.71 is stretched, especially given its low 5.0% ROCE.
−MACD signals a moderate bearish trend with a value of -1.4778.
⟳ What Changed
₹ Latest Earnings · Q ending 2026-09-30
REVENUE
₹427 Cr
+33.17% YoY
NET PROFIT
₹24 Cr
+98.43% YoY
OPM
9.81%
-0.01pp YoY
EPS
₹1.44
PE 50.71
Intrinsic value · DCF: N/A — ML model predicts severe Δ FCF compression (h1=-2.8%, h2=-0.8%, h3=-0.9% of mktcap), driving projected FCF negative by year 3 despite healthy current FCF. Treating as forecast outlier rather than reporting a misleading ₹0 valuation. Use the Strategy Fit and ML sections instead.
◇ Sector Position
NOCIL's current PE of 50.71 and ROCE of 5.0% price it much higher than peers like HSCL (PE 40.72, ROCE 22.36%) despite significantly lower profitability.
PEERPEROCE %
NOCIL50.715.0
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ML Forward Growth Predictions 🔒
38
SCORE / 100
Overall
6-axis composite of the sections below.
Performance
UNDERPERFORMER
20
Valuation
STRETCHED
20
Growth
MUTED
30
Profitability
AVERAGE
42
Technicals
BEARISH
23
Risk
LOW
90
Key Stats
TTM PE
50.71
P/B
1.58
52W HIGH
₹211.2
OFF HIGH
-34.7%
DIV YIELD
0.91%
MKT CAP
₹2289 Cr
◉ Active Signals
MACDBearish-0.0237
RSI(14)Bearish34.59
Street Consensus
6 analysts₹208.33
mean target
Low ₹170.0Now ₹137.91High ₹320.0
⧉ Strategy Fit 🔒