₹250.8
-1.26% today
· 30d +11.96%
as of 2026-09-04
Price · Daily Candles
“Parag Milk Foods grapples with weak technicals as FII and DII stakes dip amidst revenue growth.”
Parag Milk Foods, with a market capitalization of ₹2662 Cr, reported a 23.01% YoY net profit growth in Q4 2026, reaching ₹32 Cr, despite a more modest 2.95% revenue increase to ₹945 Cr for the same quarter. Annually, revenues grew 11.23% to ₹3818 Cr. However, its stock price has fallen 41.01% over the last six months and is 43.76% off its 52-week high.
BULL CASE
+Net profit saw a strong 23.01% YoY increase in Q4 2026, reaching ₹32 Cr.
+Annual revenue grew 11.23% to ₹3818 Cr in FY26, showcasing consistent top-line expansion.
+The 3-year net profit CAGR stands at an impressive 36.38%, indicating strong historical earnings growth.
+The company's PE ratio of 20.01 (TTM) is significantly lower than some sector peers like Nestle (78.73) and Britannia (59.01).
BEAR CASE
−The stock price has plummeted 41.01% over the past six months and is 43.76% below its 52-week high of ₹376.95.
−FIIs reduced their stake by 0.48% sequentially to 8.77% in Q4 2026.
−DIIs also decreased their holding by 0.91% to 5.25% in Q4 2026.
−Machine Learning model predicts weak Free Cash Flow (FCF) growth, with a rank of 0.0 for recent 2-year FCF.
⟳ What Changed
₹ Latest Earnings · Q ending 2026-03-31
REVENUE
₹945 Cr
+2.95% YoY
NET PROFIT
₹32 Cr
+23.01% YoY
OPM
8.11%
+0.05pp YoY
EPS
₹2.58
PE 20.01
Intrinsic value · DCF: N/A — ML model predicts severe Δ FCF compression (h1=-43.0%, h2=-33.6%, h3=-39.9% of mktcap), driving projected FCF negative by year 3 despite healthy current FCF. Treating as forecast outlier rather than reporting a misleading ₹0 valuation. Use the Strategy Fit and ML sections instead.
◇ Sector Position
Parag Milk Foods trades at a TTM PE of 20.01 and an ROCE of 14.0%, presenting a more value-oriented profile compared to peers like Nestle (PE 78.73, ROCE 66.49%) and Britannia (PE 59.01, ROCE 64.74%), but a higher PE than AWL (PE 23.97).
PEERPEROCE %
PARAGMILK20.0114.0
+ 2 more peers — sign in to view
ML Forward Growth Predictions 🔒
62
SCORE / 100
Overall
6-axis composite of the sections below.
Performance
STRONG
75
Valuation
REASONABLE
60
Growth
STEADY
66
Profitability
DECENT
58
Technicals
NEUTRAL
65
Risk
MODERATE
50
Key Stats
TTM PE
20.01
P/B
2.09
52W HIGH
₹376.95
OFF HIGH
-33.47%
DIV YIELD
0.47%
MKT CAP
₹3149 Cr
◉ Active Signals
MACDBullish2.7887
RSI(14)Bullish61.44
Street Consensus
2 analysts₹275.0
mean target
Low ₹250.0Now ₹250.8High ₹300.0
⧉ Strategy Fit 🔒