₹212.47
+1.42% today
· 30d -9.66%
as of 2026-09-04
Price · Daily Candles
“RVNL's Q4 Profit Plummets 60% YoY, as Technicals Flash Bearish Signals and Growth Stalls.”
Rail Vikas Nigam (RVNL) ended FY26 with a significant deceleration, reporting a 60.43% YoY net profit decline to ₹182 Cr in Q4. This slump contrasts with a modest 4.19% revenue increase to ₹6696 Cr for the quarter. Annually, revenues grew only 2.45% to ₹20412 Cr, while net profit fell 32.06% to ₹871 Cr, reflecting a muted growth outlook with a 3-year net profit CAGR of -13.43%.
BULL CASE
+Despite the challenging quarter, quarterly revenue saw a 4.19% YoY increase, reaching ₹6696 Cr.
+The company's P/E ratio of 61.85 remains above some peers, potentially indicating investor confidence in long-term prospects relative to peers like LT (34.54).
BEAR CASE
−Q4 net profit recorded a steep 60.43% YoY decline to ₹182 Cr, significantly impacting recent performance.
−Annual net profit for FY26 decreased by 32.06% YoY to ₹871 Cr, and the 3-year net profit CAGR stands at -13.43%, indicating a persistent decline in profitability.
−The stock is trading at -41.92% from its 52-week high of ₹447.8, and close to its 52-week low of ₹248.0, with strong bearish MACD and RSI(14) signals.
−FII shareholding decreased by 0.12% QoQ, while public shareholding increased by 0.08% QoQ, perhaps reflecting FII caution.
−The company is currently free-cash-flow negative, with a fcf-yield_pct of -3.61%, as highlighted in the intrinsic value assessment.
⟳ What Changed
₹ Latest Earnings · Q ending 2026-06-30
REVENUE
₹4321 Cr
+10.55% YoY
NET PROFIT
₹160 Cr
+18.73% YoY
OPM
7.3%
+0.5pp YoY
EPS
₹0.76
PE 61.85
Intrinsic value · DCF: N/A — Company is currently free-cash-flow negative (-4.4% of mktcap). DCF assumes a going concern generating positive cash flow; a meaningful intrinsic value can only be computed once FCF turns positive. Use the Strategy Fit and ML sections instead.
◇ Sector Position
RVNL's TTM P/E of 61.85 stands well above peers like LT (34.54) and KPIL (21.3) despite a lower ROCE of 15.0% compared to NBCC (27.04%) and KEC (29.48%).
PEERPEROCE %
RVNL61.8515.0
+ 2 more peers — sign in to view
ML Forward Growth Predictions 🔒
32
SCORE / 100
Overall
6-axis composite of the sections below.
Performance
UNDERPERFORMER
20
Valuation
STRETCHED
20
Growth
MUTED
34
Profitability
DECENT
55
Technicals
WEAK
30
Risk
ELEVATED
30
Key Stats
TTM PE
61.85
P/B
5.69
52W HIGH
₹400.7
OFF HIGH
-46.98%
DIV YIELD
1.0%
MKT CAP
₹44241 Cr
◉ Active Signals
MACDBearish-1.1309
RSI(14)Bearish39.1
Near 52W LowBearish4.24
Street Consensus
3 analysts₹240.33
mean target
Low ₹183.0Now ₹212.47High ₹334.0
⧉ Strategy Fit 🔒