₹198.0
+0.96% today
· 30d +11.83%
as of 2026-09-04
Price · Daily Candles
“SAIL's Q4 profits surge by 46.72% YoY, but negative FCF growth trends weigh.”
SAIL delivered strong Q4 2026 results, with net profit surging 46.72% YoY to ₹1835 Cr and revenue up 5.11% YoY to ₹30813 Cr. Despite this, ML predictions show weak free cash flow (FCF) growth stability, with a rank of 0.0 for both recent and rolling 4-year periods. The stock currently trades at a TTM PE of 22.04 and a PB of 1.28.
BULL CASE
+Q4 2026 net profit soared by 46.72% YoY to ₹1835 Cr, demonstrating significant earnings recovery.
+Quarterly revenue grew 5.11% YoY to ₹30813 Cr, contributing to a 1-year revenue change of 8.13% to ₹110811 Cr.
+Operating profit for Q4 2026 increased by 25.89% YoY to ₹4760 Cr, with OPM expanding by 2.51%.
+FIIs increased their stake by 0.48% and DIIs by 0.57% QoQ in March 2026, indicating institutional confidence.
BEAR CASE
−Machine learning predictions for free cash flow (FCF) growth show a weak rank of 0.0 for both recent 2-year and rolling 4-year horizons.
−The stock is trading 14.14% off its 52-week high of ₹209.7, despite a 38.53% return over the last year.
−The 3-year CAGR for net profit is 15.72%, but the 5-year CAGR is negative at -4.05%, indicating historical inconsistency.
−The company's ROCE of 8.0% is significantly lower than peers like NMDC (31.08%) and LLOYDSME (27.44%).
⟳ What Changed
₹ Latest Earnings · Q ending 2026-06-30
REVENUE
₹26246 Cr
+1.25% YoY
NET PROFIT
₹1644 Cr
+120.8% YoY
OPM
16.48%
+5.24pp YoY
EPS
₹3.98
PE 22.04
Intrinsic value · DCF: N/A — ML model predicts severe Δ FCF compression (h1=-18.8%, h2=-21.3%, h3=-21.2% of mktcap), driving projected FCF negative by year 3 despite healthy current FCF. Treating as forecast outlier rather than reporting a misleading ₹0 valuation. Use the Strategy Fit and ML sections instead.
◇ Sector Position
SAIL's TTM PE of 22.04 puts it above industry low JSWSTEEL (12.32) and close to TATASTEEL (22.79), but its ROCE of 8.0% lags significantly behind top peers like NMDC (31.08%) and LLOYDSME (27.44%).
PEERPEROCE %
SAIL22.048.0
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ML Forward Growth Predictions 🔒
74
SCORE / 100
Overall
6-axis composite of the sections below.
Performance
STRONG
100
Valuation
REASONABLE
60
Growth
STRONG
71
Profitability
DECENT
68
Technicals
NEUTRAL
65
Risk
LOW
80
Key Stats
TTM PE
22.04
P/B
1.28
52W HIGH
₹209.7
OFF HIGH
-5.58%
DIV YIELD
0.89%
MKT CAP
₹81889 Cr
◉ Active Signals
MACDBullish1.5788
RSI(14)Bullish66.64
Street Consensus
29 analysts₹181.07
mean target
Low ₹125.0Now ₹198.0High ₹270.0
⧉ Strategy Fit 🔒