₹480.2
-2.1% today
· 30d +2.83%
as of 2026-11-09
Price · Daily Candles
“TCI Express navigates growth challenges, Q4 profit dips amid price pressure; share price down 31.3% in one year.”
TCI Express, an integrated freight and logistics firm, reported Q4 FY26 revenue growth of 6.77% YoY to ₹328 crore, but net profit declined by 17.2% YoY to ₹16 crore, indicating margin pressure. This subdued performance contributes to the stock's 31.3% decline over the past year, despite a seemingly reasonable PE of 24.24 compared to the sector average.
BULL CASE
+Annual revenue for FY26 grew by 2.42% to ₹1238 crore, demonstrating continued top-line expansion.
+The company maintains a strong promoter holding of 69.46% as of Q4 FY26.
+Despite recent price declines, the stock shows a 3-month return of 8.71% and a 1-month return of 4.38%.
+Current P/E ratio of 24.24 is significantly below industry peers like DELHIVERY (231.74) and BLUEDART (46.66).
BEAR CASE
−Q4 FY26 net profit fell by 17.2% YoY to ₹16 crore, despite a 6.77% YoY increase in revenue.
−The stock has witnessed a significant price erosion, down 31.3% over the last year and 11.21% over the last six months.
−Free cash flow (FCF) is negative at -₹24 crore, resulting in a -1.21% FCF yield, posing concerns for future financial flexibility.
−Annual net profit for FY26 decreased by 5.1% YoY to ₹81 crore.
−FII holding has seen a slight decrease of 0.01% QoQ, from an already low 0.82% to 0.81% in Q4 FY26.
⟳ What Changed
₹ Latest Earnings · Q ending 2026-09-30
REVENUE
₹338 Cr
+9.56% YoY
NET PROFIT
₹23 Cr
-1.84% YoY
OPM
11.82%
-0.25pp YoY
EPS
₹5.74
PE 24.24
Intrinsic value · DCF: N/A — Company is currently free-cash-flow negative (-1.3% of mktcap). DCF assumes a going concern generating positive cash flow; a meaningful intrinsic value can only be computed once FCF turns positive. Use the Strategy Fit and ML sections instead.
◇ Sector Position
TCI Express trades at a competitive PE of 24.24 and has a ROCE of 14.0%, positioned favorably compared to sector peers like DELHIVERY (PE 231.74, ROCE 7.68%) but lagging behind TCI (PE 15.39, ROCE 24.74%).
PEERPEROCE %
TCIEXP24.2414.0
+ 2 more peers — sign in to view
ML Forward Growth Predictions 🔒
44
SCORE / 100
Overall
6-axis composite of the sections below.
Performance
UNDERPERFORMER
5
Valuation
REASONABLE
60
Growth
MUTED
46
Profitability
DECENT
58
Technicals
WEAK
47
Risk
MODERATE
50
Key Stats
TTM PE
24.24
P/B
2.1
52W HIGH
₹705.0
OFF HIGH
-31.89%
DIV YIELD
2.33%
MKT CAP
₹1847 Cr
◉ Active Signals
MACDNeutral2.9038
RSI(14)Neutral46.21
Near 52W LowBearish7.3
Street Consensus
10 analysts₹568.7
mean target
Low ₹465.0Now ₹480.2High ₹669.0
⧉ Strategy Fit 🔒