₹111.5
+4.69% today
· 30d +5.39%
as of 2026-09-04
Price · Daily Candles
“Thomas Cook struggles with Q4 profit plunge and muted growth as FIIs hike stake.”
Thomas Cook (India) is grappling with a significant Q4 profit decline, dropping -53.53% YoY, despite a 3-year revenue CAGR of 18.0%. The stock is currently trading at a TTM PE of 19.78, with a high beta of 1.65, and returns have fallen -40.34% over the last year. ML growth predictions remain neutral to weak, particularly for Free Cash Flow.
BULL CASE
+Annual revenue witnessed a 3-year CAGR of 18.0%, reaching ₹8398 Cr in FY26.
+Promoter shareholding remains strong at 63.83% as of March 2026, indicating management confidence.
+Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) increased their stake by 0.28% QoQ, holding 7.56% in Q4FY26.
+The stock is trading near its 52-week low of ₹86.35, currently at ₹92.92, potentially offering a value entry.
BEAR CASE
−Q4FY26 net profit plummeted by -53.53% YoY to ₹31 Cr, alongside a -10.07% YoY revenue decline.
−Annual net profit for FY26 decreased by -14.67% YoY to ₹220 Cr.
−The stock has seen substantial price erosion, down -40.34% over the last year and -50.65% from its 52-week high of ₹188.29.
−ML predictions for Free Cash Flow (FCF) growth are weak, with 1-year recent 2-year rank at 0.0 and stable 7-year rank also at 0.0, suggesting future cash flow concerns.
−Operating Profit Margin (OPM) declined by -1.22% YoY in Q4FY26, impacting profitability.
⟳ What Changed
₹ Latest Earnings · Q ending 2026-06-30
REVENUE
₹2092 Cr
-13.13% YoY
NET PROFIT
₹64 Cr
-13.4% YoY
OPM
7.16%
+0.16pp YoY
EPS
₹1.54
PE 19.78
Intrinsic value · DCF: N/A — ML model predicts severe Δ FCF compression (h1=-38.8%, h2=-40.1%, h3=-43.6% of mktcap), driving projected FCF negative by year 3 despite healthy current FCF. Treating as forecast outlier rather than reporting a misleading ₹0 valuation. Use the Strategy Fit and ML sections instead.
◇ Sector Position
Thomas Cook's TTM PE of 19.78 is significantly lower than sector leaders like IRCTC (PE 32.68) and TBOTEK (PE 56.44), but its ROCE of 15.0% trails IRCTC's 45.71% and TBOTEK's 26.24%.
PEERPEROCE %
THOMASCOOK19.7815.0
+ 2 more peers — sign in to view
ML Forward Growth Predictions 🔒
44
SCORE / 100
Overall
6-axis composite of the sections below.
Performance
UNDERPERFORMER
5
Valuation
CHEAP
75
Growth
MUTED
40
Profitability
DECENT
55
Technicals
NEUTRAL
62
Risk
ELEVATED
30
Key Stats
TTM PE
19.78
P/B
1.84
52W HIGH
₹181.55
OFF HIGH
-38.58%
DIV YIELD
0.54%
MKT CAP
₹5261 Cr
◉ Active Signals
MACDNeutral-0.0144
RSI(14)Neutral58.59
Street Consensus
2 analysts₹131.5
mean target
Low ₹123.0Now ₹111.5High ₹140.0
⧉ Strategy Fit 🔒