₹872.3
+3.23% today
· 30d +1.43%
as of 2026-09-04
Price · Daily Candles
“Titagarh's Q4 Profit Dip Concerns Amidst Strong FCF Growth Signals”
Titagarh reported a substantial Q4 2025 net profit decline of -23.29% YoY, despite a -7.77% YoY drop in revenue. However, ML predictions indicate strong FCF growth with a 0.738 rank for rolling 4-year FCF and an even higher 0.807 rank for stable 7-year FCF, suggesting potential long-term cash generation capabilities. The stock trades at a demanding TTM PE of 60.57.
BULL CASE
+Machine learning models project strong future free cash flow growth, with the 1-year rolling 4-year FCF rank at 0.738 and the 1-year stable 7-year FCF rank at 0.807.
+The company's P/B ratio stands at 4.35, suggesting a premium for its book value of ₹187.79.
+Over the last three years, revenue has grown at a 26.06% CAGR through March 2022.
+Despite recent volatility, the stock shows moderate bullish strength on its RSI(14) with a value of 60.65.
BEAR CASE
−Q4 2025 net profit experienced a significant -23.29% YoY decline, alongside a -7.77% YoY revenue decrease, indicating recent operational challenges.
−The TTM PE of 60.57 is notably higher than the sector average, suggesting a stretched valuation compared to peers like CONCOR (PE 28.12) and TEXRAIL (PE 22.71).
−Profit margin for FY25 stands at 5.48%, indicating modest profitability.
−DIIs reduced their stake by 0.14% QoQ to 12.45% in Q4 2026, while public shareholding increased by 0.13%.
⟳ What Changed
₹ Latest Earnings · Q ending 2026-06-30
REVENUE
₹765 Cr
+12.63% YoY
NET PROFIT
₹53 Cr
+69.94% YoY
OPM
13.16%
+0.6pp YoY
EPS
₹3.91
PE 60.57
Intrinsic value · DCF: N/A — ML model predicts severe Δ FCF compression (h1=-32.3%, h2=-28.3%, h3=-29.2% of mktcap), driving projected FCF negative by year 3 despite healthy current FCF. Treating as forecast outlier rather than reporting a misleading ₹0 valuation. Use the Strategy Fit and ML sections instead.
◇ Sector Position
Titagarh's TTM PE of 60.57 significantly exceeds sector peers like CONCOR (28.12) and JWL (32.39), while its ROCE of 17.0% is broadly in line with CONCOR's 17.87% and TEXRAIL's 16.07%.
PEERPEROCE %
TITAGARH60.5717.0
+ 1 more peers — sign in to view
ML Forward Growth Predictions 🔒
48
SCORE / 100
Overall
6-axis composite of the sections below.
Performance
STRONG
75
Valuation
STRETCHED
20
Growth
DECLINING
27
Profitability
DECENT
68
Technicals
NEUTRAL
65
Risk
ELEVATED
30
Key Stats
TTM PE
60.57
P/B
4.35
52W HIGH
₹971.0
OFF HIGH
-10.16%
DIV YIELD
0.12%
MKT CAP
₹11757 Cr
◉ Active Signals
MACDBullish3.0334
RSI(14)Neutral59.0
Street Consensus
8 analysts₹971.38
mean target
Low ₹771.0Now ₹872.3High ₹1093.0
⧉ Strategy Fit 🔒