₹29.88
+0.27% today
· 30d -0.73%
as of 2026-09-04
Price · Daily Candles
“Tracxn's Profitability Plummets Amidst Revenue Stagnation; ML Signals Weak FCF Growth.”
Tracxn Technologies, with a market cap of ₹346 Cr, reported a Q4 FY26 net loss of ₹3 Cr and a -3.1% YoY revenue decline, following a -0.58% annual revenue contraction for FY26. The stock trades at a PB of 6.38 with negative EPS of -1.2, reflecting its recent struggles, including a 46.12% drop over the last year.
BULL CASE
+Promoter shareholding in Tracxn has seen a slight increase of 0.1% QoQ, reaching 34.54% by March 2026, signaling some insider confidence.
+Despite recent challenges, the 5-year revenue CAGR of 8.54% indicates historical growth before the recent downturns.
+ML predictions for EBIT growth show neutral to strong signals, with 'ebit_1y_rolling_4y' at 0.51 and 'ebit_1y_stable_7y' at 0.473, suggesting potential future earnings improvement.
BEAR CASE
−Q4 FY26 net profit fell to -₹3 Cr, with operating profit declining by a significant -414.69% YoY.
−The stock has seen considerable price erosion, with a 1-year return of -46.12% and currently trades 50.82% off its 52-week high of ₹65.8.
−QoQ, FII stake decreased by 0.32% to 0.52%, while DII stake saw a marginal increase of 0.15% to 3.45%, indicating mixed institutional sentiment.
−The company's P/B ratio stands at 6.38, despite negative earnings per share of -1.2, suggesting a potentially rich valuation relative to its book value and lack of profitability.
−ML predictions for FCF growth are consistently weak across all horizons, with 'fcf_1y_stable_7y' at 0.196, indicating potential future cash flow challenges.
⟳ What Changed
₹ Latest Earnings · Q ending 2026-06-30
REVENUE
₹21 Cr
-0.59% YoY
NET PROFIT
₹-3 Cr
-368.82% YoY
OPM
-12.01%
-18.48pp YoY
EPS
₹-0.28
Intrinsic value · DCF: N/A — Company is currently free-cash-flow negative (-1.2% of mktcap). DCF assumes a going concern generating positive cash flow; a meaningful intrinsic value can only be computed once FCF turns positive. Use the Strategy Fit and ML sections instead.
◇ Sector Position
Tracxn's PB of 6.38 and negative profitability place it unfavorably against peers like KFin Technologies (PE 42.04, ROCE 32.73%) and Tata Elxsi (PE 42.98, ROCE 37.74%), which demonstrate robust earnings and efficiency.
PEERPEROCE %
TRACXN——
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ML Forward Growth Predictions 🔒
28
SCORE / 100
Overall
6-axis composite of the sections below.
Performance
UNDERPERFORMER
5
Valuation
—
—
Growth
MUTED
34
Profitability
LOW
5
Technicals
WEAK
47
Risk
MODERATE
50
Key Stats
P/B
6.38
52W HIGH
₹55.9
OFF HIGH
-46.55%
MKT CAP
₹319 Cr
◉ Active Signals
MACDNeutral0.0886
RSI(14)Neutral50.86
⧉ Strategy Fit 🔒