ftInvstr
UFBL · Consumer Cyclical ₹528.8 -4.45% Mkt Cap ₹2066 Cr overvalued

UFBL

Consumer Cyclical Restaurants
₹528.8
-4.45% today · 30d -23.9%
as of 2026-11-09
Price · Daily Candles
“UFBL rockets 41% in a week, defying negative EPS and high beta volatility.”
Universal Foodblends (UFBL) has seen its stock price surge 41.32% in the last week and an impressive 155.12% over six months, despite a negative TTM EPS of -15.14 and a negative net profit of -15 Cr in Q4 2026. The company faces significant profitability challenges with a ROCE of just 2.0%, trailing most peers.
BULL CASE
+The stock has delivered strong short-term returns, up 41.32% in the last week and 155.12% over six months.
+Quarterly revenue grew 23.1% YoY to ₹360 Cr in Q4 2026, indicating top-line momentum.
+ML sales growth predictions are neutral for sales over the recent 2-year period (rank 0.496).
+Current FCF is positive at ₹94 Cr, yielding 5.07% despite overall negative profitability.
+Technicals are strong with both MACD (10.4432) and RSI(14) (67.44) in bullish territory.
BEAR CASE
−The company reported a negative net profit of -15 Cr in Q4 2026 and a negative TTM EPS of -15.14.
−Return on Capital Employed (ROCE) is very low at 2.0%, significantly trailing industry peers.
−The stock is highly volatile with a beta of 2.06, indicating higher risk than the broader market.
−ML predictions for Free Cash Flow (FCF) are weak across the board (rank 0.0-0.109).
−Operating Profit Margin (OPM) declined by -3.32 percentage points YoY in Q4 2026, despite revenue growth, to 15.81%.
⟳ What Changed
₹ Latest Earnings · Q ending 2026-09-30
REVENUE
₹429 Cr
+40.88% YoY
NET PROFIT
₹-6 Cr
OPM
14.86%
+0.22pp YoY
EPS
₹-1.57
Intrinsic value · DCF ₹172.68 · Margin of safety -67.3% (overvalued) · FCF yield 4.56%
◇ Sector Position
UFBL's 2.0% ROCE trails significantly behind high-performing peers like TRAVELFOOD (ROCE 51.99%) and WESTLIFE (ROCE 52.44%), and its null TTM PE stands in contrast to DEVYANI's 1570.04 PE.
PEERPEROCE %
UFBL—2.0
JUBLFOOD134.225.74
TRAVELFOOD—51.99
DEVYANI1570.0420.65
+ 2 more peers — sign in to view
ML Forward Growth Predictions 🔒

9 ML-predicted forward-growth ranks across sales, EBIT, and FCF.

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45
SCORE / 100
Overall
6-axis composite of the sections below.
Performance STRONG 100
Valuation — —
Growth STEADY 50
Profitability AVERAGE 42
Technicals BEARISH 23
Risk HIGH 10
Key Stats
P/B
5.66
52W HIGH
₹850.0
OFF HIGH
-37.79%
MKT CAP
₹2066 Cr
◉ Active Signals
MACDBearish-8.6061
RSI(14)Bearish33.59
Street Consensus
2 analysts
₹411.0
mean target
Low ₹397.0Now ₹528.8High ₹425.0
⧉ Strategy Fit 🔒

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