ftInvstr
UNITDSPR · Consumer Defensive ₹1424.2 +0.86% Mkt Cap ₹103323 Cr fair

UNITDSPR

Consumer Defensive Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries
₹1424.2
+0.86% today · 30d +4.72%
as of 2026-11-09
Price · Daily Candles
“United Spirits posts quarterly profit surge, but FIIs exit and ML flags FCF compression.”
United Spirits reported a 28.03% YoY net profit increase to ₹539 Cr in Q4 2026, alongside a 39.84% jump in operating profit. While Q1-Q3 2026 saw foreign institutional investors (FIIs) increase their stake by 0.29%, ML predictions indicate weak future free cash flow growth, projecting a decline of -19.15% over a 4-year rolling period.
BULL CASE
+Q4 2026 net profit grew 28.03% YoY to ₹539 Cr, indicating strong recent performance.
+Operating profit saw a 39.84% YoY increase in Q4 2026, with OPM improving by 3.09 percentage points.
+Overall annual net profit for FY26 increased by 16.18% YoY to ₹1838 Cr.
+The 3-year revenue CAGR stands at 35.97%, demonstrating significant top-line expansion.
BEAR CASE
−FIIs pared down their stake by 0.29% QoQ, despite the company's recent earnings performance.
−ML models predict weak free cash flow growth, with a -19.15% decline over a 4-year rolling period.
−The 1-year sales growth ML rank is neutral to weak (0.506 for recent 2Y, 0.633 for rolling 4Y), indicating potential slowdown.
−Sales growth for FY26 was a modest 1.98% YoY to ₹27816 Cr, significantly lower than the 3-year CAGR.
⟳ What Changed
₹ Latest Earnings · Q ending 2026-09-30
REVENUE
₹7014 Cr
-2.57% YoY
NET PROFIT
₹428 Cr
-7.76% YoY
OPM
10.0%
-0.18pp YoY
EPS
₹6.48
PE 57.24
Intrinsic value · DCF ₹1245.47 · Margin of safety -12.5% (fair) · FCF yield 1.24%
◇ Sector Position
At a TTM PE of 57.24 and ROCE of 27.0%, United Spirits trades at a lower valuation than peers like Radico (PE 90.29, ROCE 21.96%) and ABDL (PE 82.44, ROCE 26.86%).
PEERPEROCE %
UNITDSPR57.2427.0
RADICO90.2921.96
ABDL82.4426.86
TI97.5528.75
+ 2 more peers — sign in to view
ML Forward Growth Predictions 🔒

9 ML-predicted forward-growth ranks across sales, EBIT, and FCF.

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57
SCORE / 100
Overall
6-axis composite of the sections below.
Performance POSITIVE 55
Valuation STRETCHED 20
Growth STEADY 64
Profitability HIGH 75
Technicals NEUTRAL 50
Risk LOW 80
Key Stats
TTM PE
57.24
P/B
10.94
52W HIGH
₹1563.4
OFF HIGH
-8.9%
DIV YIELD
1.23%
MKT CAP
₹103323 Cr
◉ Active Signals
MACDBullish18.1647
RSI(14)Bullish61.53
Street Consensus
26 analysts
₹1497.0
mean target
Low ₹1230.0Now ₹1424.2High ₹1791.0
⧉ Strategy Fit 🔒

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