₹1466.0
-1.31% today
· 30d -3.69%
as of 2026-09-04
Price · Daily Candles
“United Spirits posts quarterly profit surge, but FIIs exit and ML flags FCF compression.”
United Spirits reported a 28.03% YoY net profit increase to ₹539 Cr in Q4 2026, alongside a 39.84% jump in operating profit. While Q1-Q3 2026 saw foreign institutional investors (FIIs) increase their stake by 0.29%, ML predictions indicate weak future free cash flow growth, projecting a decline of -19.15% over a 4-year rolling period.
BULL CASE
+Q4 2026 net profit grew 28.03% YoY to ₹539 Cr, indicating strong recent performance.
+Operating profit saw a 39.84% YoY increase in Q4 2026, with OPM improving by 3.09 percentage points.
+Overall annual net profit for FY26 increased by 16.18% YoY to ₹1838 Cr.
+The 3-year revenue CAGR stands at 35.97%, demonstrating significant top-line expansion.
BEAR CASE
−FIIs pared down their stake by 0.29% QoQ, despite the company's recent earnings performance.
−ML models predict weak free cash flow growth, with a -19.15% decline over a 4-year rolling period.
−The 1-year sales growth ML rank is neutral to weak (0.506 for recent 2Y, 0.633 for rolling 4Y), indicating potential slowdown.
−Sales growth for FY26 was a modest 1.98% YoY to ₹27816 Cr, significantly lower than the 3-year CAGR.
⟳ What Changed
₹ Latest Earnings · Q ending 2026-06-30
REVENUE
₹6122 Cr
-2.75% YoY
NET PROFIT
₹462 Cr
+10.91% YoY
OPM
8.1%
-3.14pp YoY
EPS
₹3.34
PE 57.24
Intrinsic value · DCF ₹1061.35 · Margin of safety -27.6% (overvalued) · FCF yield 1.2%
◇ Sector Position
At a TTM PE of 57.24 and ROCE of 27.0%, United Spirits trades at a lower valuation than peers like Radico (PE 90.29, ROCE 21.96%) and ABDL (PE 82.44, ROCE 26.86%).
PEERPEROCE %
UNITDSPR57.2427.0
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ML Forward Growth Predictions 🔒
64
SCORE / 100
Overall
6-axis composite of the sections below.
Performance
STRONG
75
Valuation
STRETCHED
20
Growth
STEADY
64
Profitability
HIGH
75
Technicals
NEUTRAL
67
Risk
LOW
80
Key Stats
TTM PE
57.24
P/B
10.94
52W HIGH
₹1563.4
OFF HIGH
-6.23%
DIV YIELD
1.23%
MKT CAP
₹106355 Cr
◉ Active Signals
MACDNeutral-12.5442
RSI(14)Neutral42.82
Street Consensus
26 analysts₹1497.0
mean target
Low ₹1230.0Now ₹1466.0High ₹1791.0
⧉ Strategy Fit 🔒