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WELCORP · Basic Materials ₹2210.6 -1.57% Mkt Cap ₹58187 Cr overvalued

WELCORP

Basic Materials Steel
₹2210.6
-1.57% today · 30d -15.91%
as of 2026-11-09
Price · Daily Candles
“Welspun Corp surges, delivering a 200% Q1 profit jump amid strong technicals.”
Welspun Corp (WELCORP) delivered a Q1 net profit surge of 200.11% YoY to ₹1048 Cr, driven by a 14.91% revenue increase to ₹4081 Cr. Despite a TTM P/E of 26.38, the stock shows strong technical momentum with a 1-year return of 158.5% and a strong bullish MACD signal, yet it is currently trading near its 52-week high.
BULL CASE
+Q1 net profit catapulted by 200.11% YoY to ₹1048 Cr, significantly boosting quarterly performance.
+Revenue growth for Q1 stood at 14.91% YoY, reaching ₹4081 Cr, indicating strong operational performance.
+The stock has delivered exceptional price appreciation, with a 1-year return of 158.5% and a 3-month return of 79.84%.
+ML predictions show strong ranks for 1-year EBIT growth across various lookbacks (0.622 to 0.743).
+DIIs have increased their stake by 0.95% QoQ, holding 21.49% of the company as of March 2026.
BEAR CASE
−The stock is trading 2.46% off its 52-week high of ₹2348.9, indicating potential for limited near-term upside.
−The RSI(14) signal is bearish at 89.98, suggesting the stock might be overbought.
−The intrinsic value analysis suggests the stock is overvalued, with a margin of safety at -28.6% against a current price of ₹2291.2.
−FIIs have slightly decreased their stake by 0.21% QoQ, reducing their holding to 11.23% as of March 2026.
−The TTM P/E of 26.38 is higher than sector peers like JSWSTEEL (11.25) and NMDC (10.14).
⟳ What Changed
₹ Latest Earnings · Q ending 2026-09-30
REVENUE
₹4644 Cr
+6.18% YoY
NET PROFIT
₹495 Cr
+11.63% YoY
OPM
16.63%
+2.43pp YoY
EPS
₹18.91
PE 26.38
Intrinsic value · DCF ₹1619.16 · Margin of safety -26.8% (overvalued) · FCF yield 1.16%
◇ Sector Position
Welspun Corp's TTM P/E of 26.38 is higher than peers like JSWSTEEL (11.25) and TATASTEEL (20.22), while its ROCE of 21.0% sits between JSWSTEEL (23.94%) and TATASTEEL (17.58%).
PEERPEROCE %
WELCORP26.3821.0
JSWSTEEL11.2523.94
TATASTEEL20.2217.58
LLOYDSME21.3221.5
+ 2 more peers — sign in to view
ML Forward Growth Predictions 🔒

9 ML-predicted forward-growth ranks across sales, EBIT, and FCF.

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73
SCORE / 100
Overall
6-axis composite of the sections below.
Performance STRONG 100
Valuation REASONABLE 60
Growth STEADY 53
Profitability HIGH 85
Technicals NEUTRAL 50
Risk LOW 90
Key Stats
TTM PE
26.38
P/B
6.66
52W HIGH
₹2900.0
OFF HIGH
-23.77%
DIV YIELD
0.25%
MKT CAP
₹58187 Cr
◉ Active Signals
MACDBearish-28.7365
RSI(14)Bearish38.82
Street Consensus
6 analysts
₹1956.5
mean target
Low ₹1794.0Now ₹2210.6High ₹2233.0
⧉ Strategy Fit 🔒

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