₹2550.1
+1.03% today
· 30d -1.92%
as of 2026-09-04
Price · Daily Candles
“ZF Commercial Vehicle India sees Q4 profit surge, but FIIs exit as valuation concerns loom.”
ZF Commercial Vehicle India (ZFCVINDIA) reported a strong Q4 2026 with net profit up 15.47% YoY to ₹146 Cr and revenue up 14.17% YoY to ₹1155 Cr. However, the stock trades at a TTM PE of 54.55, significantly higher than its intrinsic value of ₹8301.34, suggesting it is currently 44.3% overvalued. FIIs reduced their stake by 0.41% QoQ, despite the positive quarterly results.
BULL CASE
+Q4 2026 revenue increased by 14.17% YoY to ₹1155 Cr.
+Q4 2026 net profit jumped 15.47% YoY to ₹146 Cr, alongside a 14.49% rise in operating profit.
+Annual net profit CAGR over 5 years stands at a strong 37.87%, reflecting consistent growth.
+Promoter shareholding is stable at 60.0% as of Q4 2026.
+The company's profitability is high, with a business score of 85, and risk is low, scoring 80.
BEAR CASE
−The stock is significantly overvalued with a -44.3% margin of safety, trading at ₹14895.0 against an intrinsic value of ₹8301.34.
−FIIs decreased their stake by 0.41% QoQ in Q4 2026.
−The TTM PE of 54.55 is higher than peer BOSCHLTD's 38.11 and UNOMINDA's 53.78.
−Despite positive quarterly growth, the 1-year sales growth ML prediction for H2 is negative at -0.0321.
⟳ What Changed
₹ Latest Earnings · Q ending 2026-03-31
REVENUE
₹1155 Cr
+14.17% YoY
NET PROFIT
₹146 Cr
+15.47% YoY
OPM
19.35%
-0.12pp YoY
EPS
₹77.14
PE 54.55
Intrinsic value · DCF ₹822.62 · Margin of safety -67.7% (overvalued) · FCF yield 2.29%
◇ Sector Position
ZF Commercial Vehicle India trades at a TTM PE of 54.55 with a ROCE of 20.0%, placing it above BOSCHLTD (38.11 PE, 21.47% ROCE) but below industry peers like SCHAEFFLER (57.01 PE, 31.31% ROCE).
PEERPEROCE %
ZFCVINDIA54.5520.0
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ML Forward Growth Predictions 🔒
64
SCORE / 100
Overall
6-axis composite of the sections below.
Performance
STRONG
75
Valuation
STRETCHED
20
Growth
STEADY
65
Profitability
HIGH
85
Technicals
NEUTRAL
62
Risk
LOW
80
Key Stats
TTM PE
54.55
P/B
7.65
52W HIGH
₹3044.0
OFF HIGH
-16.23%
DIV YIELD
0.03%
MKT CAP
₹29064 Cr
◉ Active Signals
MACDNeutral-15.7601
RSI(14)Neutral49.02
Street Consensus
4 analysts₹18207.25
mean target
Low ₹17000.0Now ₹2550.1High ₹19714.0
⧉ Strategy Fit 🔒