₹27.3
+0.74% today
· 30d -5.04%
as of 2026-09-04
Price · Daily Candles
“Patel Engineering: FIIs and DIIs boost stakes amid negative FCF predictions and recent Rights Issue”
Patel Engineering's 9.78x P/E ratio is favorable, alongside 1-year revenue and net profit growth of 0.18% and 8.6% respectively. However, ML predictions forecast a severe deterioration in Free Cash Flow (FCF), with a -41.2% predicted decrease over the rolling 4-year horizon, posing a significant risk. Q4 financials reported revenue of ₹1421 Cr and net profit of ₹44 Cr.
BULL CASE
+Annual revenue increased by 0.18% YoY to ₹5103 Cr in FY26.
+Annual net profit grew by 8.6% YoY to ₹269 Cr in FY26.
+The trailing twelve months P/E of 9.78x is considerably lower than the sector average, suggesting potential value.
+DIIs and FIIs increased their holdings by 0.35% and 0.34% QoQ respectively as of March 2026.
+Q4 FY26 operating profit margin was 17.16%.
BEAR CASE
−The stock has seen significant price declines, falling -34.34% over the past year.
−ML models predict severe FCF compression, with a -41.2% decrease over the rolling 4-year average, driving projected FCF negative.
−The 52-week high of ₹46.4 suggests the current price of ₹27.73 is 40.24% off its peak.
−The MACD signal is bearish with a moderate strength of -0.1156.
⟳ What Changed
₹ Latest Earnings · Q ending 2026-06-30
REVENUE
₹1281 Cr
+3.83% YoY
NET PROFIT
₹99 Cr
+21.69% YoY
OPM
15.7%
-0.33pp YoY
EPS
₹0.98
PE 9.78
Intrinsic value · DCF: N/A — ML model predicts severe Δ FCF compression (h1=-40.5%, h2=-41.0%, h3=-40.2% of mktcap), driving projected FCF negative by year 3 despite healthy current FCF. Treating as forecast outlier rather than reporting a misleading ₹0 valuation. Use the Strategy Fit and ML sections instead.
◇ Sector Position
Patel Engineering trades at a 9.78x P/E with a ROCE of 14.0%, significantly lower than peers like NBCC (47.67x P/E, 27.04% ROCE) and LT (34.54x P/E, 21.24% ROCE).
PEERPEROCE %
PATELENG9.7814.0
+ 2 more peers — sign in to view
ML Forward Growth Predictions 🔒
55
SCORE / 100
Overall
6-axis composite of the sections below.
Performance
UNDERPERFORMER
20
Valuation
CHEAP
90
Growth
STEADY
56
Profitability
DECENT
68
Technicals
WEAK
45
Risk
MODERATE
50
Key Stats
TTM PE
9.78
P/B
0.65
52W HIGH
₹42.77
OFF HIGH
-36.17%
MKT CAP
₹2611 Cr
◉ Active Signals
MACDBearish-0.0978
RSI(14)Neutral41.42
Street Consensus
1 analyst₹33.0
mean target
Low ₹33.0Now ₹27.3High ₹33.0
⧉ Strategy Fit 🔒